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Saturday, April 12, 2025

As Tariffs Hit, Americans Are Racing to Buy Car Seats, iPhones and Christmas Gifts - The New York Times

As Tariffs Hit, Americans Are Racing to Buy Car Seats, iPhones and Christmas Gifts

"Many Americans have purchased foreign-made products out of fears that companies could start to raise prices soon.

Shoppers with umbrellas outdoors in front of a modern building with an Apple logo and pink and purple neon lights.
Fearing increased prices because of tariffs on Chinese goods, shoppers have flocked to Apple stores to buy iPhones, deciding not to wait until the release of new models later this year.Karsten Moran for The New York Times

Emily Moen, a coffee shop manager in Omaha, was scrolling through TikTok earlier this week when she came across a video informing her that President Trump’s tariffs could lead to higher prices for essential baby products.

Ms. Moen, who is 15 weeks pregnant, said that she had not planned to buy a car seat soon. But after watching the video, she researched the one made by Graco that she had been eyeing, and learned that it was manufactured in China. Worried that the $200 seat could get even more expensive, she bought the item on Amazon the same day.

“It was like an awakening to get this done now,” said Ms. Moen, 29.

As the Trump administration’s trade war with China escalates, many consumers have raced to purchase foreign-made products out of fear that companies could start to raise prices soon. Some have rushed to buy big-ticket items like iPhones and refrigerators. Others have hurriedly placed orders for cheap goods from Chinese e-commerce platforms.

The White House this week imposed a minimum tariff rate of 145 percent on all Chinese imports to the United States, on top of other previously announced levies, including a 25 percent tariff on steel, aluminum, cars and car parts.

And last week, Mr. Trump ordered the end of a loophole that had allowed goods from China worth less than $800 to enter the United States without tariffs.

Early data show that consumers stocked up on goods after the Trump administration announced sweeping tariffs on nearly all trading partners.Angela Weiss/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Some early data show that consumers flocked to stores and stocked up on goods after the administration announced sweeping tariffs on nearly all trading partners. Mr. Trump backed down on some of those threats this week and instituted a 90-day pause on more punishing levies. But he said that the halt would not apply to China, and he instead raised tariffs again on all Chinese goods.

China is the second largest source of U.S. imports, and makes the bulk of the world’s cellphones, computers and toys.

According to Earnest Analytics, a firm that analyzes data on millions of debit and credit card payments, consumer spending at Apple was up 20 percent between April 2 and April 7 compared with average spending there in recent months. Spending was also up 10 percent at Home Depot and 18 percent at the department store chain Belk, according to the analysis.

Consumers have also raced to grocery stores, large discount chains and car dealerships in recent days. Purchases of shelf-stable goods surged in the five days following Mr. Trump’s tariff announcement on April 2, with sales of canned and jarred vegetables up 23 percent, sales of instant coffee up 20 percent and ketchup sales up 16 percent compared with the same period the week before, according to data from Consumer Edge, a company that tracks consumer behavior.

Although some consumers have been more strategic with their purchases, others might be stockpiling because of uncertainty about which products will be affected by tariffs, and whether companies will raise prices, analysts said.

The threat of higher prices has also prompted many consumers to buy electronics, particularly iPhones. For more than a decade, American shoppers have purchased iPhones each year beginning in September, when Apple releases its newest models. But Mr. Trump’s tariffs have turned April into this year’s iPhone-buying season.

Tom Barnard, 49, a university marketing director in Waco, Texas, said that he helped his mother buy a new iPhone 16 on Friday. Mr. Barnard said that his mother would have waited for the newest model to come out, but that he thought that it was wiser to make the purchase now, in case Apple increased prices later this year.

“The iPhone could get very expensive very quickly,” he said. “I think we’re going to be in a trade war with China until at least through the end of the year.”

Apple makes roughly 80 percent of its iPhones in China, according to Counterpoint Research, a technology research firm. Because the Trump administration has said that it won’t exempt products made in China from higher tariffs, Apple will either have to pay those fees, reducing its profit, or indirectly pass on the extra costs to customers by raising prices.

Analysts at UBS have estimated that a $1,199 iPhone 16 Pro Max assembled in China is likely to increase in cost by $950, or about 79 percent, at the current tariff rate on Chinese imports.

“There’s panic buying going on and panic selling by investors, too,” said Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. “It’s more turmoil than I’ve seen in 20 years following the company. The speed of it has been crazy.”

Mr. Barnard, the marketing director in Texas who planned to purchase a new iPhone, said that he and his wife also spent around $650 at Walmart last weekend, in large part because they were concerned that tariffs could raise grocery costs.

Some parents have even debated buying Christmas gifts eight months early, to stave off higher prices. In Facebook groups and on message boards dedicated to families, parents debated what to buy, given the attention span of toddlers. Parents asked each other if their children would still be interested in narwhal or unicorn toys at the end of the year, or if it was better to go for a more standard gift, such as Lego sets.

In one Facebook group for families in the Los Angeles area, parents shared notes about Apple products, video game consoles they had purchased and where they had seen the lowest prices.

“We were talking about getting our son an iPhone when he turns 14 at the end of the year, but we are going to buy it now,” wrote one parent, in a Facebook group for families in the San Francisco area. “We just have to hide it from him until his birthday.”

Other consumers have been preparing for the possibility of higher prices for months. Bree Chaudoin, 47, a lending support specialist in Normal, Ill., said she upgraded her iPhone shortly after Mr. Trump was elected in November, out of concern that prices could rise if he imposed new tariffs. Ms. Chaudoin said that she also started saving up for new camping gear late last year.

About a month ago, Ms. Chaudoin purchased a $1,500 rooftop tent for her car that appeared to have been manufactured in China. She also ordered a new water tank, camping lanterns and fire tongs from Temu and AliExpress, popular e-commerce platforms with Chinese owners.

Ms. Chaudoin said that she typically tries to buy as many American products as she can. But a similar water tank produced domestically, she added, would have cost at least $120 more.

“I have a very tight budget,” she said. “When they sell these products that are such high quality and for a less amount of money, it just didn’t make sense to me to buy them anywhere else.”

Even though the recent surge in sales has provided a boon for some companies, retail analysts said that firms appeared to be more concerned about consumers pulling back on spending. Wall Street economists have lowered their forecasts for growth and warned about a potential recession amid a global trade war. Consumer sentiment has also tumbled as households grow more anxious about inflation.

“When I talk to companies, they’re more worried that people are not going to buy,” said Simeon Siegel, a retail analyst at the investment bank BMO Capital Markets.

Tripp Mickle and Sheera Frenkel contributed reporting.

Madeleine Ngo covers U.S. economic policy and how it affects people across the country."

As Tariffs Hit, Americans Are Racing to Buy Car Seats, iPhones and Christmas Gifts - The New York Times

Trump Live Updates: New Tariff Rule Exempts Smartphones and Other Electronics From Most Levies - The New York Times

Trump Administration Live Updates: Smartphones and Computers Get Reprieve From New U.S. Tariffs on China

President Trump facing a group of people holding up phones and microphones.
President Trump spoke to reporters aboard Air Force One on Friday.Tom Brenner for The New York Times

"Where Things Stand

  • Smartphone reprieve: The Trump administration published a rule late Friday night that appeared to exempt smartphones, computers and other electronics from most of the president’s punishing tariffs on China, giving tech companies like Apple and Dell a break from levies that threatened to upend their businesses and increase prices for consumers. 

  • Border policy: President Trump announced a plan on Friday to turn a narrow strip along the Mexican border in California, Arizona and New Mexico into a military installation as part of his effort to curtail illegal crossings. The plan, set out in a White House memorandum, calls for transferring authority over the 60-foot-wide strip of federal border land known as the Roosevelt Reservation from other cabinet agencies to the Defense Department. Read more ›

  • Federal firings: A federal appeals panel on Friday halted parts of a district court judge’s injunction blocking the Trump administration’s effort to dismantle the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, allowing officials to move ahead with firing some agency employees. Read more ›

The Apple Store on Fifth Avenue in Manhattan this week.Karsten Moran for The New York Times

After more than a week of ratcheting up tariffs on products imported from China, the Trump administration issued a rule late Friday that appeared to spare smartphones, computers and other electronics from some of the fees, giving tech companies like Apple and Dell a break from levies that threatened to upend their businesses and increase prices for consumers.

A message posted late Friday by U.S. Customs and Border Protection included a long list of products that would not face the reciprocal tariffs President Trump imposed in recent days on Chinese goods as part of a worsening trade war. Apart from smartphones and laptop computers, the exclusions would also apply to transistors and semiconductors, which are largely not made in the United States.

Supporters of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau rallying outside the agency in February. The appeals court left much of the injunction blocking the Trump administration from dismantling the agency intact.Craig Hudson/Reuters

A federal appeals panel on Friday halted parts of a district court judge’s injunction blocking the Trump administration’s effort to dismantle the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, allowing officials to move ahead with firing some agency employees.

Russell T. Vought, the White House budget office director, was named the consumer bureau’s acting director in February and immediately began gutting the agency. He closed its headquarters and sought to terminate its lease, canceled contracts essential to the bureau’s operations, terminated hundreds of employees and sought to lay off nearly all of the rest.

The unveiling of former President Barack Obama’s official portrait in the East Room of the White House in 2022.Doug Mills/The New York Times

The Trump administration said on Friday that it had moved a portrait of former President Barack Obama in a White House hallway and replaced it with a pop-art painting of President Trump pumping his fist after the assassination attempt last year on the campaign trail in Butler, Pa.

The shuffling of décor is not uncommon at the White House, where portraits are rotated often. But the new, striking artwork depicting Mr. Trump drew criticism from some presidential historians, who could not recall another president hanging a painting of himself during his term in the White House.

President Trump speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One on Friday. Tom Brenner for The New York Times

President Trump announced a plan on Friday to turn a narrow strip along the Mexican border in California, Arizona and New Mexico into a military installation as part of his effort to curtail illegal crossings.

The plan, set out in a White House memorandum, calls for transferring authority over the 60-foot-wide strip of federal border land known as the Roosevelt Reservation from other cabinet agencies to the Defense Department. Military forces patrolling that area could then temporarily detain migrants passing through for trespassing on a military reservation, said a U.S. military official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters.

Mainers protest against Gov. Janet Mills in front of the State Capitol in Augusta in March.Ryan David Brown for The New York Times

The Department of Education said on Friday that it was moving to cut off all federal funding for Maine’s public schools because the state had ignored President Trump’s executive order banning transgender athletes from girls’ sports teams.

The agency also said it had asked the Justice Department to pursue “enforcement action” against Maine, which the Trump administration has been targeting since the president picked a fight with the state’s Democratic governor, Janet Mills, over transgender athletes in February.

Kash Patel, the F.B.I. director, told senators that the agency would not engage in retribution under his command.Kenny Holston/The New York Times

The F.B.I. has suspended an analyst on Kash Patel’s so-called enemies list after Mr. Patel told lawmakers that the bureau under his leadership would stay out of the political fray and not punish employees for partisan reasons.

Last week, the bureau placed the analyst, Brian Auten, on administrative leave, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they feared retaliation. The reasons for the suspension remain unclear.

Kirkland & Ellis is one of the law firms that recently reached deals with the White House to provide free legal work to causes that President Trump supports.Jeenah Moon for The New York Times

Five more prominent law firms facing potential punitive action by President Trump reached deals on Friday with the White House to provide a total of $600 million in free legal services to causes supported by the president.

Four of the firms — Kirkland & Ellis, Latham & Watkins, A&O Shearman and Simpson Thacher & Bartlett — each agreed to provide $125 million in pro bono or free legal work, according to Mr. Trump. A fifth firm, Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft, agreed to provide at least $100 million in pro bono work."

Trump Live Updates: New Tariff Rule Exempts Smartphones and Other Electronics From Most Levies - The New York Times

Tuesday, April 01, 2025

Are We Taking A.I. Seriously Enough? | The New Yorker

Are We Taking A.I. Seriously Enough?

"There’s no longer any scenario in which A.I. fades into irrelevance. We urgently need voices from outside the industry to help shape its future.

Illustration of woman looking out a window at a pixelated landscape

Illustration by Josie Norton

My in-laws own a little two-bedroom beach bungalow. It’s part of a condo development that hasn’t changed much in fifty years. The units are connected by brick paths that wind through palm trees and tiki shelters to a beach. Nearby, developers have built big hotels and condo towers, and it’s always seemed inevitable that the bungalows would be razed and replaced. But it’s never happened, probably because, according to the association’s bylaws, eighty per cent of the owners have to agree to a sale of the property. Eighty per cent of people hardly ever agree about anything.

Recently, however, a developer has made some progress. It offered to buy a few units at seemingly high prices; after some owners got interested, it made an offer for the whole place that was larger than anyone expected. Enough people were open to the idea of a big sale that, suddenly, it seemed like a possibility. Was the offer a good one? How might negotiations proceed? The owners, unsure, started arguing among themselves.

As a favor to my mother-in-law, I explained the whole situation to OpenAI’s ChatGPT 4.5—the version of the company’s A.I. model that’s available on the “plus” and “pro” tiers and, for some tasks, is substantially better than the cheaper and free versions. The “pro” version, which costs two hundred dollars a month, includes a feature called “deep research,” which allows the A.I. to devote an extended period of time—as much as half an hour, in some cases—to doing research online and analyzing the results. I asked the A.I. to evaluate the offer; three minutes later, it delivered a lengthy report. Then, over the course of a few hours, I asked it to revise the report a few times, so that it could incorporate my further questions.

The offer was too low, the A.I. said. Its research had located nearby properties that had sold for more. In one case, a property had been “upzoned” by its new owners after the sale, increasing the number of units it could house; this meant that the property was worth more than one might detect from the dollar value of the deal. Negotiations, meanwhile, would be complicated. I asked the A.I. to incorporate a scenario in which the developers bought more than half of the units, giving them control of the condo board. It predicted that they might institute onerous new rules or assessments, which could push more of the original owners to sell. And yet, the A.I. noted, this could also be a moment of vulnerability for the developers. “They will own half of a non-redevelopable condo complex—meaning their investment is stuck in limbo,” it observed. “The bank financing their buyout will be nervous.” If just twenty-one per cent of owners held out, they could make the developers “bleed cash” and raise their offer.

I was impressed, and forwarded the report to my mother-in-law. A real-estate lawyer might have provided a better analysis, I thought—but not in three minutes, or for two hundred bucks. (The A.I.’s analysis included a few errors—for example, it initially overestimated the size of the property—but it quickly and thoroughly corrected them when I pointed them out.) At the time, I was also asking ChatGPT to teach me about a scientific field I planned to write on; to help me set up an old computer so that my six-year-old could use it to program his robot; and, as an experiment, to write fan fiction based on a Profile I’d written of Geoffrey Hinton, the “godfather of A.I.” (“The reporter, Josh, had left earlier that day, waving from the departing boat. . . . ”) But the advice I’d gotten about the condo was different. The A.I. had helped me with a genuine, thorny, non-hypothetical problem involving money. Maybe it had even paid for itself. It had demonstrated a certain practicality—a level of street smarts—that I associated, perhaps naïvely, with direct human experience. I’ve followed A.I. closely for years; I knew that the systems were capable of much more than real-estate research. Still, this was both an “Aha!” and an “uh-oh” moment. It’s here, I thought. This is real.

Many people don’t know how seriously to take A.I. It can be hard to know, both because the technology is so new and because hype gets in the way. It’s wise to resist the sales pitch simply because the future is unpredictable. But anti-hype, which emerges as a kind of immune response to boosterism, doesn’t necessarily clarify matters. In 1879, the Times ran a multipart front-page story about the light bulb, under the headline “Edison’s Electric Light—Conflicting Statements as to Its Utility.” In a section offering “a scientific view,” the paper quoted an eminent engineer—the president of the Stevens Institute of Technology—who was “protesting against the trumpeting of the result of Edison’s experiments in electric lighting as ‘a wonderful success.’ ” He wasn’t being unreasonable: inventors had been failing to construct workable light bulbs for decades. In many other instances, his anti-hype would’ve been warranted.

A.I. hype has created two kinds of anti-hype. The first holds that the technology will soon plateau: maybe A.I. will continue struggling to plan ahead, or to think in an explicitly logical, rather than intuitive, way. According to this theory, more breakthroughs will be required before we reach what’s described as “artificial general intelligence,” or A.G.I.—a roughly human level of intellectual firepower and independence. The second kind of anti-hype suggests that the world is simply hard to change: even if a very smart A.I. can help us design a better electrical grid, say, people will still have to be persuaded to build it. In this view, progress is always being throttled by bottlenecks, which—to the relief of some people—will slow the integration of A.I. into our society.

These ideas sound compelling, and they inspire a comforting, wait-and-see attitude. But you won’t find them reflected in “The Scaling Era: An Oral History of AI, 2019-2025” (Stripe Press), a wide-ranging and informative compendium of excerpts from interviews with A.I. insiders by the podcaster Dwarkesh Patel. A twenty-four-year-old wunderkind interviewer, Patel has attracted a large podcast audience by asking A.I. researchers detailed questions that no one else even knows to ask, or how to pose. (“Is the claim that when you fine-tune on chain of thought, the key and value weights change so that the steganography can happen in the KV cache?” he asked Sholto Douglas, of DeepMind, last March.) In “The Scaling Era,” Patel weaves together many interviews to create an over-all picture of A.I.’s trajectory. (The title refers to the “scaling hypothesis”—the idea that, by making A.I.s bigger, we’ll quickly make them smarter. It seems to be working.)

Pretty much no one interviewed in “The Scaling Era”—from big bosses like Mark Zuckerberg to engineers and analysts in the trenches—says that A.I. might plateau. On the contrary, almost everyone notes that it’s improving with surprising speed: many say that A.G.I. could arrive by 2030, or sooner. And the complexity of civilization doesn’t seem to faze most of them, either. Many of the researchers seem pretty sure that the next generation of A.I. systems, which are probably due later this year or early next, will be decisive. They’ll allow for the widespread adoption of automated cognitive labor, kicking off a period of technological acceleration with profound economic and geopolitical implications.

The language-based nature of A.I. chatbots has made it easy to imagine how the systems might be used for writing, lawyering, teaching, customer service, and other language-centric tasks. But that’s not where A.I. developers are necessarily focussing their efforts. “One of the first jobs to be automated is going to be an AI researcher or engineer,” Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former alignment researcher at OpenAI, tells Patel. Aschenbrenner—who was Columbia University’s valedictorian at the age of nineteen, in 2021, and who notes on his website that he studied economic growth “in a previous life”—explains that if tech companies can assemble armies of A.I. “researchers,” and those researchers can identify ways to make A.I. smarter, the result could be an intelligence-feedback loop. “Things can start going very fast,” Aschenbrenner says. Automated researchers could branch out to a field like robotics; if one country gets ahead of the others in such efforts, he argues, this “could be decisive in, say, military competition.” He suggests that, eventually, we could find ourselves in a situation in which governments consider launching missiles at data centers that seem on the verge of creating “superintelligence”—a form of A.I. that is much smarter than human beings. “We’re basically going to be in a position where we’re protecting data centers with the threat of nuclear retaliation,” Aschenbrenner concludes. “Maybe that sounds kind of crazy.”

That’s the highest-intensity scenario—but the low-intensity ones are still intense. The economist Tyler Cowen takes a comparatively incrementalist view: he favors the “life is complicated” perspective, and argues that the world might contain many problems that aren’t solvable, no matter how intelligent your computer is. He notes that, globally, the number of researchers has already been increasing—“China, India, and South Korea recently brought scientific talent into the world economy”—and that this hasn’t created a profound, sci-fi-level technological acceleration. Instead, he thinks, A.I. might usher in a period of innovation roughly analogous to what happened in the mid-twentieth century, when, as Patel puts it, the world went “from V2 rockets to the Moon landing in a couple of decades.” This might sound like a deflationary view—and, compared to Aschenbrenner’s, it is. On the other hand, consider what those decades brought us: nuclear bombs, satellites, jet travel, the Green Revolution, computers, open-heart surgery, the discovery of DNA.

Ilya Sutskever, the onetime chief scientist of OpenAI, is probably the cagiest voice in the book; when Patel asks him when he thinks A.G.I. might arrive, he says, “I hesitate to give you a number.” So Patel takes a different tack, asking Sutskever how long he thinks that A.I. might be “very economically valuable, let’s say, on the scale of airplanes,” before it automates large swaths of the economy. Sutskever, splitting the difference between Cowen and Aschenbrenner, ventures that the transitional, A.I.-as-airplanes stage might constitute “a good multiyear chunk of time” that, in hindsight, “may feel like it was only one or two years.” Maybe that’s like the period between 2007, when the iPhone was introduced, and around 2013, when a billion people owned smartphones—except that, this time, the newly ubiquitous technology will be smart enough to help us invent even more new technologies.

It’s tempting to let these views exist in their own space, as though you’re watching a trailer for a movie you probably won’t see. After all, no one really knows what will happen! But, actually, we know a lot. Already, A.I. can discuss and explain many subjects at a Ph.D. level, predict how proteins will fold, program a computer, inflate the value of a memecoin, and more. We can also be certain that it will improve by some significant margin over the next few years—and that people will be figuring out how to use it in ways that affect how we live, work, discover, build, and create. There are still questions about how far the technology can go, and about whether, conceptually speaking, it’s really “thinking,” or being creative, or what have you. Still, in one’s mental model of the next decade or two, it’s important to see that there is no longer any scenario in which A.I. fades into irrelevance. The question is really about degrees of technological acceleration.

“Degrees of technological acceleration” may sound like something for scientists to obsess about. Yet it’s actually a political matter. Ajeya Cotra, a senior adviser at Open Philanthropy, articulates a “dream world” scenario in which A.I.’s acceleration happens more slowly. In this world, “the science is such that it’s not that easy to radically zoom through levels of intelligence,” she tells Patel. If the “AI-automating-AI loop” is late in developing, she explains, “then there are a lot of opportunities for society to both formally and culturally regulate” the applications of artificial intelligence.

Of course, Cotra knows that might not happen. “I worry that a lot of powerful things will come really quickly,” she says. The plausibility of the most troubling scenarios puts A.I. researchers in an awkward position. They believe in the technology’s potential and don’t want to discount it; they are rightfully concerned about being involved in some version of the A.I. apocalypse; and they are also fascinated by the most speculative possibilities. This combination of factors pushes the debate around A.I. to the extremes. (“If GPT-5 looks like it doesn’t blow people’s socks off, this is all void,” Jon Y, who runs the YouTube channel Asianometry, tells Patel. “We’re just ripping bong hits.”) The message, for those of us who aren’t computer scientists, is that there’s no need for us to weigh in. Either A.I. fails, or it reinvents the world. As a result, although A.I. is upon us, its implications are mostly being imagined by technical people. Artificial intelligence will affect us all, but a politics of A.I. has yet to materialize. Understandably, civil society is utterly absorbed in the political and social crises centered on Donald Trump; it seems to have little time for the technological transformation that’s about to engulf us. But if we don’t attend to it, the people creating the technology will be single-handedly in charge of how it changes our lives.

Those people are bright, no question. But, without being in any way disrespectful, it’s important to say that they are not typical. They have particular skills and affinities, and particular values. In one of the best moments in Patel’s book, he asks Sutskever what he plans to do after A.G.I. is invented. Won’t he be dissatisfied living in some post-scarcity “retirement home”? “The question of what I’ll be doing or others will be doing after AGI is very tricky,” Sutskever says. “Where will people find meaning?” He continues:

But that’s a question AI could help us with. I imagine we will become more enlightened because we interact with an AGI. It will help us see the world more correctly and become better on the inside as a result of interacting with it. Imagine talking to the best meditation teacher in history. That will be a helpful thing.

Would most people—people who are not computer scientists, and who have not devoted their lives to the creation of A.I.—think that they might find their life’s meaning through talking to one? Would most people think that a machine will make them “better on the inside”? It’s not that these views are beyond the pale. (They might, crazily, turn out to be right.) But that doesn’t mean that the world view behind them should be our North Star as we venture into the next technological age.

The difficulty is that articulating alternative views—views that explain, forcefully, what we want from A.I., and what we don’t want—requires serious and broadly humanistic intellectual work, spanning politics, economics, psychology, art, religion. And the time for doing this work is running out. At this point, it’s up to us—those of us outside of A.I.—to insert ourselves into the conversation. What do we value in people, and in society? Where do we want A.I. to help us, and when do we want it to keep out? Will we consider A.I. a failure or a success if it replaces schools with screens? What about if it substitutes itself for long-standing institutions—universities, governments, professions? If an A.I. becomes a friend, a confidant, or a lover, is it overstepping boundaries, and why? Perhaps A.I.’s success could be measured by how much it restores balance to our politics and stability to our lives, or by how much it strengthens the institutions that it might otherwise erode. Perhaps its failure could be seen in how much it undermines the value of human minds and human freedom. In any case, to control A.I., we need to debate and assert a new set of human values which, in the past, we haven’t had to specify. Otherwise, we’ll be leaving the future up to a group of people who mainly want to know if their technology will work, and how fast. ♦"

Are We Taking A.I. Seriously Enough? | The New Yorker

Sunday, March 23, 2025

I Want Apple to Bring This MacBook Pro Feature to the MacBook Air - CNET

I Want Apple to Bring This MacBook Pro Feature to the MacBook Air

"Commentary: The M4 MacBook Air has all the power and ports I need. But I could use one Pro feature that's still not an option for Apple's thin-and-light laptop.

Apple MacBook Air M4 in Sky Blue color.

The MacBook Air's display is big and bright but has only a basic 60Hz refresh rate.

Josh Goldman/CNET

There are plenty of reasons to pick a MacBook Pro over a MacBook Air. For most people, it's getting the increased performance from an M4 Pro or M4 Max chip. For others, it's getting a bit more display, a 14.2-inch panel versus 13.6 inches on the smaller models or 16.2 inches to 15.3 inches on the larger MacBooks. And for others still, it's getting a better port selection with an extra Thunderbolt port to go along with an HDMI connection and SDXC card slot.

My primary laptop is a 14-inch MacBook Pro, but I don't really need Pro-level performance. After reviewing the new 15-inch MacBook Air M4, I'm nearly ready to trade my 14-inch Pro for the 15-inch Air. I love the Air's thinner and slightly lighter design and bigger display. But there's one thing holding me back. One feature exclusive to the MacBook Pro that I'm afraid I'd miss on the MacBook Air that's otherwise better suited to me. I'm not sure I can live (and scroll) without a ProMotion display.

Watch this: M4 MacBook Air Review: Still Fantastic Even if Not Much Has Changed

Display differences

The MacBook Air's Liquid Retina is a great laptop display. It's bright and sharp with accurate color. But it's not the Liquid Retina XDR display you get with a MacBook Pro. The 1,600-nit Liquid Retina Display XDR on a MacBook Pro is much brighter than the MacBook Air's 500-nit Liquid Retina display and bright enough for HDR content editing. My occasional video editing projects don't involve HDR video or extend beyond iMovie, so I'm willing to leave the extended dynamic range of an XDR display to the realm of the MacBook Pro. 

MacBook Pro displays also boast higher resolutions and pixels-per-inch counts but the MacBook Air's resolution presents a very sharp picture with more than enough pixels to my eyes. So I'm not asking for a higher resolution than what's currently offered on either MacBook Air model.

However, with the amount of scrolling I do, what I want on the Air is the faster refresh rate you get on a Pro. Apple labels it as ProMotion and it provides an adaptive refresh rate of up to 120Hz. That means it refreshes its image 120 times a second for smoother motion. With an Air, the display refreshes at a steady 60 times per second.

apple-macbook-pro-16-m4-pro-6542

The MacBook Pro's ProMotion display has a refresh rate that is twice as fast as a MacBook Air's.

Lori Grunin/CNET

When I tested the new 15-inch MacBook Air, I looked at it next to my 14-inch MacBook Pro. And from this side-by-side comparison, I noticed the smoother motion when scrolling through web pages. The motion in YouTube videos or Netflix shows didn't look any smoother to me, but the more fluid motion was clear to me when I was browsing the web, an activity I do much more than watching YouTube or Netflix on a MacBook. Text stayed more legible on the Pro as I scrolled down a page. On the Air, letters and words blurred as I moved down the page, making it more difficult to keep reading while scrolling. 

And the adaptive part? A ProMotion display adapts the refresh rate depending on what's happening on your screen. When things are active and moving -- watching a movie or scrolling through an article, for example -- it cranks it up to 120Hz. When things are more static or when the display is sitting idle, it can drop the refresh rate to as low as 1Hz to conserve battery life.

My AirMotion compromise idea

I suppose it is called ProMotion for a reason -- a feature exclusive to the MacBook Pro. Any MacBook Pro from 2021 and onward has a ProMotion display. You'll also find Apple's ProMotion displays on its other "Pro" devices. iPhone Pro models got ProMotion displays starting in 2021 along with the MacBook Pro, but Apple introduced the ProMotion display with the iPad Pro in 2017. ProMotion is doubly important on an iPad Pro because it allows for smoother movement and scrolling and provides a more natural and responsive feel for drawing, sketching and writing.

Apple MacBook Air M4 in Sky Blue color.

A display with an adaptive refresh rate would bring smoother scrolling and longer battery life to the MacBook Air.

Josh Goldman/CNET

I'd argue that smoother scrolling from a ProMotion display is something all MacBook users can appreciate, unlike a true pro-level feature like a super-bright XDR panel needed for creating and editing HDR content. Plus, the adaptive part of ProMotion would help with battery life, another item that all MacBook users would certainly welcome.

Plus, with MacBooks no longer the longest-running laptops I've tested -- they've fallen behind Copilot Plus PCs based on Qualcomm Snapdragon X processors -- it's in Apple's interests to bring ProMotion or something close to it to the MacBook Air to improve battery life. 

I understand adding a feature called ProMotion to a non-Pro product might cause Apple's marketing team some consternation. So let's do some rebranding. Call it AirMotion and give MacBook Air displays an adaptive refresh rate up to, say, 90Hz. Better yet, call it AirMotion with a 120Hz refresh rate and bump ProMotion up to 144Hz. That would maintain the Pro's edge over the Air while also helping to strengthen Apple's case that a MacBook Pro can be used for gaming.

In the end, any variety of a ProMotion (or AirMotion!) display would strengthen my ability to trade in my 14-inch MacBook Pro for the larger yet thinner and lighter 15-inch MacBook Air."

I Want Apple to Bring This MacBook Pro Feature to the MacBook Air - CNET